The End of the AI ​​Rally: Overvaluation and Bitcoin's Rise to New All-Time Highs

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has dominated headlines and has been the center of attention in the market for the past few years. Valuations of technology companies developing AI have skyrocketed, with giants like OpenAI, Google, and Meta leading the market. However, recently, many analysts and experts have started to question whether this “AI fever” has peaked and whether the market, in its eagerness to bet on the technology of the future, has not fallen into a bubble. Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market, led by Bitcoin, is starting to show signs of recovery, setting the narrative for a new bullish rally that could surpass its last all-time high (ATH).

The Overvaluation of Artificial Intelligence

Since the beginning of 2023, shares of AI-focused companies have seen a meteoric rise in value. Enthusiasm for generative AI, language models, and automated applications have captured the imagination of investors. Valuations of these companies have reached exorbitant figures, many of which are not necessarily justified by tangible revenues or profits. In fact, estimates suggest that the AI ​​sector could be overvalued by as much as 20% of its actual value.

This phenomenon of overhype is not new in technology, and markets often experience a correction after periods of over-enthusiasm. Much like the dot-com boom in the late 1990s, AI could be entering a correction phase, where the market adjusts its expectations and begins to demand concrete results rather than just promises of the future.

Bitcoin and the Beginning of a New Rally

Against this backdrop, Bitcoin has begun to gain traction again, driven by a number of factors including interest from major financial institutions and a renewed focus on its role as a store of value and hedge against inflation. Bitcoin has broken through key resistance barriers, and analysts are pointing to it rapidly approaching a new ATH (all-time high).

Bitcoin Rally Driving Factors:

1. Institutional interest : Large institutions, including banks and investment funds, have shown increasing interest in including Bitcoin in their portfolios. The launch of Bitcoin ETFs and other financial products linked to the cryptocurrency has opened the doors to more institutional capital.

2. Decentralization and Security : With increasing regulations and control on other digital assets and the collapse of some centralized platforms, Bitcoin has emerged as a safe haven, standing out for its decentralization and security.

3. Next Halving : In 2028, the next Bitcoin halving is expected, which will halve the rewards per block mined, potentially limiting supply and increasing the price, as seen in previous halving cycles.

4. Inflation and economic crisis : In an environment where global economies face inflationary challenges, investors are looking for alternative assets that can preserve their value. Bitcoin has positioned itself as an alternative “store of value” to gold.

What Can We Expect?

The correction in the AI ​​market and the rise of Bitcoin mark a shift in focus in the investment market. While AI remains a transformative technology with great long-term potential, the market seems to be adjusting its expectations around the speed and profitability of its developments. In contrast, Bitcoin, which has proven its resilience for more than a decade, is once again positioning itself as a solid bet in the world of cryptocurrencies.

This new rally could take Bitcoin to previously unseen levels, surpassing $69,000 and approaching new all-time highs (ATH). Bullish analysts predict that Bitcoin's next ATH could even surpass $100,000 in the coming years, depending on global economic factors and the impact of the halving on the cryptocurrency's supply.

The AI ​​rally appears to be losing steam, and the market seems ready to readjust and demand more tangible results. Meanwhile, Bitcoin takes the lead as the asset of choice in the digital space, with all factors pointing to a new all-time high on the horizon. Diversification and balance between assets are key in this transition of market cycles, where trends and narratives change, but interest in digital assets remains constantly evolving.